Obama’s sleight of hand…

Posted in General Comment, economics, political-economy, politics with tags , , , , on July 13, 2009 by charley2u

We just woke up to the fact that the entire Obama stimulus plan is a farce – a ploy designed to create the impression Washington was going to “spend like mad” to fight this downturn.

The aim of this ploy was pretty simply: If we believed Washington was going to spend a lot of money, we would go out and spend a lot of money in expectation of Washington’s spending.

In another example of this idea, the Federal Reserve has greatly expanded the amount of money on its balance sheets. This creates the impression among the investor class that trillions of new dollars will come flooding into the market to push up prices – creating hyper-inflation.

The economists around Obama – Summers, Romer, etc. – believe such expectations can change your behavior. According to the theory, if we expect, for instance, inflation to be very high in the near future, it might make sense to buy a house or put money in more risky assets. The same can be said for government stimulus: If we think the government is going to spend a lot of cash to stimulate the economy, we might be less fearful of losing our jobs, and more inclined to buy that 42 inch wide-screen high-definition plasma television.

According to reports in the media over the last few months, this was the projected schedule of stimulus plan spending:

stimulus28

As you can see, most of Obama stimulus spending comes in 2010, and the following years. Which, we thought, is odd, since this chart below is the likely projected course of the Great Recession, according to estimate by Obama’s economic advisers:

reality versus Bernstein

As you can see in this chart, with his stimulus plan (dark blue line), Obama’s team expected the recession to peak in late 2009, and for unemployment to be falling as we headed into 2010.

If this projection is true, why was the bulk of the stimulus spending loaded to the back end of the recession, when unemployment would have been falling, and economic conditions improving?

We think the answer is simple: It was a con game from the very beginning.

The con was to announce a really huge number in the press – a headline number – which would grab your attention, $878 Billion, but to quietly shelve the spending plan after you, inspired the flood of new spending which would be coming into the market, ran headlong to the mall to join Washington’s orgy of consumption.

Barack was going to take you to the mall, and abandon you there…

The obscenity of economists…

Posted in political-economy, shorter work time with tags , , , , , , on July 10, 2009 by charley2u

Posted to the blog, angrybear.blogspot.com, a debate among economists over whether you can be compelled to work harder and longer if government increases its burden on you. Or, whether you can be convinced to work harder and longer by reducing your taxes:

How hard are you willing to work to keep that Bass Boat and the Lake Cabin even as the taxes on them are “killing you”? Are you really going to cut back your overtime in response to a tax increase if it means giving up your Season Ski Pass?”

Our response to the debate was short and sweet:

This is truly an astonishing statement.

The idea that people can be led to work themselves harder in order to offset the burden of government – which, I suppose, can be extended to inflation as well – reveals the depth of cruelty inherent in mainstream economic policy.

It really does not matter whether tax cuts or tax increases will make people work more, it is just horrifying economists would be debating how government might get them to work harder – even as 9.4 million are collecting unemployment.

This is just incredible!!

Shame on you.

To which we felt it necessary to add this addendum:

AM I THE ONLY ONE WHO THINKS IT IS NOT THE ROLE OF GOVERNMENT TO CONVERT SOCIETY INTO A PRISON HOUSE OF LABOR – NO MATTER THAT THIS GOAL IS ACHIEVED BY REDUCING TAXES OR INCREASING THEM???????

THIS DEBATE IS AN OBSCENITY!

9.4 million collecting unemployment, not 6.9 million…

Posted in Off Blog with tags , , , on July 10, 2009 by charley2u
Created by Mish's Blog: Continuing claims reach record level, but don't include 2.5 million unemployed collecting claims under emergency extended benefits

Created by Mish's Blog: Continuing claims reach record level, but don't include 2.5 million unemployed collecting claims under emergency extended benefits

Definition is everything, according to Mish’s Blog.

What some people might count as among the number of Americans actually collecting unemployment, Washington conveniently fails to count when they publish data on continuing claims – 2.5 million people to be exact:

As noted in Continuing Claims Soar by 159,000 to New Record the record continuing claims number is dramatically understated by over 2.5 million … The continuing claims number that mainsteam media focuses on is 6,883,000 … However, that number ignores extended benefits from the Emergency Unemployment Compensation (EUC) program.

You’re gonna need a bigger boat…

Sign of the times…

Posted in General Comment with tags , , , , , on July 2, 2009 by charley2u

We did a Google search for towns canceling fireworks displays this year.

1.4 million hits…and 23 pages of news items

Wanting to get the ball rolling on donations for this year’s fireworks display at the Shubenacadie Hay Days, the Tin Smith Museum Board of Directors has donated $500 to the Shubenacadie Fire Department.

Wanting to get the ball rolling on donations for this year’s fireworks display at the Shubenacadie Hay Days, the Tin Smith Museum Board of Directors has donated $500 to the Shubenacadie Fire Department.

14 over ten…

Posted in economics with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 2, 2009 by charley2u

14 above 10

Annotating Ben’s Helicopteresque Mug | zero hedge

Posted in Off Blog on June 30, 2009 by charley2u

A few choice comments for Helicopter Ben and the banksters

A horrifying chart…

Posted in Off Blog with tags , , , , , , , , on June 25, 2009 by charley2u

Brody: You’re gonna need a bigger boat.

From Business week:

Private sector job growth was almost non-existent over the past ten years. Take a look at this horrifying chart:

longjobs1

European companies reducing hours of work to cope with depression

Posted in shorter work time with tags , , , , , , , on June 25, 2009 by charley2u

Tip of the Hat to Economist’s View:

We are delighted to read this report from the New York Times that reduction of hours of work figures prominently in the solutions implemented in Europe. It seems to fly in the face of two objections often made to the idea of reducing hours of work in the US:

1. That such a reduction would be inflationary, and,

2. That such a reduction is uneconomical, since there is no limit to demand for goods and services (also known as the lump of labor theory).

Obviously, European companies are not finding such reductions inflationary, but actually cost-saving. And, it is clear they understand based on real time data that the demand for labor can and will at least fluctuate over time. Which presents the opportunity for an approach to dealing with downturns that does not add to fiscal deficits nor rely on inflationary loose monetary policies. It would be nice to see it catch on with American economists as well.

From the NYT:

“Collectively, workers and employers are finding some other solutions” to job cuts, said Andrew Watts, a senior researcher at the European Trade Union Institute, a body based in Brussels financed by unions to research labor issues.

Many countries have short-time compensation programs, tailored for the manufacturing sector, under which employers can apply for temporary assistance to lift the wages of workers working reduced hours.

France has a publicly financed partial unemployment plan, allowing companies experiencing difficulties to temporarily lay off workers and draw on state money to pay them during those periods.

Several companies have applied for the funds, many in the auto and auto supply sectors.

The automaker PSA Peugeot Citroën is in the process of a voluntary layoff plan for 3,500 of its 108,000 workers in addition to cutting workers’ hours. Laurent Cicolella, a spokesman, could not provide an exact figure for those affected by partial unemployment as it “changes week to week,” but he added that the number had been falling since last fall.

In the Netherlands, 223 companies had used a similar program by mid-January.

Germany also has several measures to reduce working time, many of which are specifically framed as employment-saving measures.

The federal “Kurzarbeit” system, which translates as “short work,” provides a state-supported backup for companies resorting to short-time working outside the provisions of collective agreements.

ZP Heller: Take Action: Demand an Exit Strategy in Afghanistan

Posted in Off Blog with tags , , , , on June 24, 2009 by charley2u

From Huffington Post:

more about “ZP Heller: Take Action: Demand an Exi…“, posted with vodpod

Joke…

Posted in Uncategorized on June 24, 2009 by charley2u

bird-shit-biema-front-fail

Q: What’s the difference between a pigeon and an investment banker?

A: The pigeon can still make a deposit on a BMW.